October 23, 2014 Login  


PSYCHED for the 2010 Giro!
Last Post 12/01/2009 11:49 PM by Alexandra Edge. 12 Replies.
Printer Friendly
Sort:
PrevPrev NextNext
You are not authorized to post a reply.
Author Messages
Nosleep

Posts:82

--
10/25/2009 04:17 PM
I love the route for the 2010 Giro, even more than the route for the 2010 Tour (both look great, but for different reasons). The Netherlands ITT has Cancellara written all over it if he races the Giro (he's done the Tour of California the last couple years, so he might not). Stages 2 and 3 will wreak more havoc than early flat stages usually do, with cobbles being visited in both. If it rains, look out. I fully expect some GC favorites will lose half a minute or more on one or both stages. These might also be the stages that aren't necessarily Cavendish-friendly, leaving the door open for guys like Haussler, Hushovd, Boonen, or even Boasson Hagen or Devolder, who have all proven themselves on cobbles while Cavendish maybe hasn't (Champs-Elysees up to par with the Dutch cobbles?).

The team time trial, which I love but understand why some riders don't, returns in Stage 4. It's longer than this year's was, so time gaps of over a minute are probably likely, meaning it might sour the stronger GC men on weak time trialing squads from even coming to the Giro (Sastre? Hope not). Stage 5 is flat and belongs, right now, to Cavendish or Petacchi. End of story. Stages 6 and 7 are medium-mountain and seem to resemble the Austria stages from the 2009 Giro, though hopefully without a rider almost dying. Stage 7 definitely looks breakaway-friendly, while for Stage 6 I could see a morning breakaway winning, a group of GC favorites making it to the line first, or even a pack sprint happening.

Stage 8 is the first true mountain stage, and will belong to the GC men. From the chatter right now, we might have a Contador/Menchov rivalry brewing, and that would be something to see. Stages 9 and 10 belong to Cavendish or Petacchi again (I'd like to say I see anyone competing with them, but I don't, particularly as the Tour of California will probably take away Tyler Farrar, and others). Stage 11 would have been a stage for Danilo Di Luca, but y'know.... Looks to be fairly selective anyway, being the Giro's longest stage and, while not branded a mountain stage, it's fairly hilly.

Stage 12 is probably the last hurrah for Cavendish and Petacchi. Then the real race begins. Stage 13 is for the breakaway, as the GC men will be saving themselves for the Zoncolan and Plan de Corones. Stage 14 might also be for the breakaway, but it's a stage that the GC men will have to mark one another on, as time gaps are definitely going to be possible.

Then comes Stage 15. Monte Zoncolan. Heh heh heh heh. It's not as long as the Sestriere or Petrano stages from this year's race, but I expect it to cause time gaps of equal ridiculousness.

Hard to think that 12.9 kilometers will be as selective as 161, but the climbing time trial to Plan de Corones is a beast. It's so tough that Zoncolan just might even go to a breakaway, with the GC men just marking one another on the climb. This time trial just says Contador Contador Contador to me.

Stages 17 and 18 will probably go to the breakaways, as 19 and 20 in the high mountains will be on the minds of the GC men, and probably all of the Giro's marquee sprinters will be long gone by this point. Not much to say about Stages 19 and 20, as they'll obviously be the last battle ground for the GC. Stage 21's time trial is just a bit longer than the Stage 21 time trial this year, but it's actually the longest ITT in next year's race in terms of distance (Plan de Corones no doubt will have the longest winning time). We'd need a first to second time gap like we had in 2008 and not 2009 for this one to be selective at all; it will probably be a triumphant ride for the champion like it (sort of) was in 2009.

Looks to be an awesome race!!
miguelon

Posts:24

--
10/25/2009 07:00 PM
Posted By Alex Laylor on 10/25/2009 04:17 PM
These might also be the stages that aren't necessarily Cavendish-friendly, leaving the door open for guys like Haussler, Hushovd, Boonen, or even Boasson Hagen or Devolder, who have all proven themselves on cobbles while Cavendish maybe hasn't (Champs-Elysees up to par with the Dutch cobbles?).

Looks to be an awesome race!!


Posted By Alex Laylor on 10/25/2009 04:17 PM
These might also be the stages that aren't necessarily Cavendish-friendly, leaving the door open for guys like Haussler, Hushovd, Boonen, or even Boasson Hagen or Devolder, who have all proven themselves on cobbles while Cavendish maybe hasn't (Champs-Elysees up to par with the Dutch cobbles?).

Looks to be an awesome race!!


Nosleep

Posts:82

--
10/25/2009 07:06 PM
Hmm? And Contador's not riding the 2010 Giro, even though he was at the route presentation and specifically commented that he thought the route suited him well. Oh well. Contador vs. Menchov might have been neat to see. Menchov is definitely going to defend; he's currently deciding whether the Tour or the Vuelta will be his other Grand Tour for 2010.
miguelon

Posts:24

--
10/26/2009 07:11 AM
Posted By Alex Laylor on 10/25/2009 04:17 PM
more on one or both stages. These might also be the stages that aren't necessarily Cavendish-friendly, leaving the door open for guys like Haussler, Hushovd, Boonen, or even Boasson Hagen or Devolder, who have all proven themselves on cobbles while Cavendish maybe hasn't (Champs-Elysees up to par with the Dutch cobbles?).

Looks to be an awesome race!!
Well, not sure what happened with my reply yesterday... What I wrote:

Nice writeup Alex! Cobbles on the Champs are definitely not anything like Flanders (and I assume you didn't mean the Dutch stages finish on cobbles....)

I wouldn't underestimate Cavendish on these roads though. He has done very well in De Panne last two years. This year he was impressive on Kemmelberg in De Panne. And if memory serves right, in Gent-Wevelgem he rode up the Kemmel impressively even though beaten already.

He also said he is usually very motivated in Belgium (underlined by racing hard in De Panne TT even though it's the last stage and he can't win - he still finished 17th this year).

Now, part of the motivation comes from the spectators he said, and if that translates into the Netherlands as well, we'll see in May - but I have a feeling he'll be there

Looks to be an awesome race!!

I agree!!!
leonardo

Posts:17

--
11/17/2009 07:10 PM
Now that Petacchi has Hondo it should make the sprints a bit more interesting. I don't know if they can beat Cav, but it will be great to watch!
Nosleep

Posts:82

--
11/20/2009 11:49 PM
Well Petacchi beat Cavendish two-up once this year. Cav's losing several members of his train, but others are being added. I think it'll be pretty much the same as this year. What could really make the sprints interesting is if we get Daniele Bennati back at 100%. Once upon a time, Bennati was thought to be the fastest thing on two wheels. He's a seven-year veteran, but still only 29, so we could definitely see him back at the top level.
leonardo

Posts:17

--
11/23/2009 08:49 PM
It would be nice to have another solid sprinter in the mix, but being on Liquigas means Bennati will have to freelance, so even if he's fit his chances will be slim. With Petacchi and Cav having a dedicated leadout Farrar and Bennati (if his fit) will be throwing some serious elbows!
leonardo

Posts:17

--
11/23/2009 08:51 PM
Imagine if we see a motivated McEwen...that would be great, he's one of the best in the business when it comes to fending for yourself, although he'll have to work hard coming back from injury to score one for team old guy.
Nosleep

Posts:82

--
11/23/2009 10:01 PM
Yeah, I suppose if Liquigas were to support Bennati, they'd probably have to leave Pellizotti or Basso home, and that's not likely to happen. Bennati won the violet jersey just fine in 2008 with Pellizotti putting up a respectable GC effort, but with both he and Basso in the fold the focus has got to be on the mountains.

I think Farrar will probably race the Tour of California next year instead of the Giro. He might prefer to race the Giro, but his team's sponsors are gonna want him in the USA's marquee race.
steve

Posts:119

--
11/27/2009 05:56 PM
I think you're right on the Farrar tip...ToC will probably be a little bigger yet this season.
Nosleep

Posts:82

--
11/29/2009 01:11 AM
The Tour of California's going to be roughly the same size as last year, though the prologue time trial has been eliminated. It's going inland to visit some climbs they can't visit in February. I'll be interested in it, and interested to see if Levi 4-peats, but the Giro is my favorite race of the entire season, so I don't know how much of my attention will be on California.
steve

Posts:119

--
11/29/2009 11:52 AM
By bigger I meant a more popular event to use for the TdF build-up for those that don't want a GT in their legs come July...
Nosleep

Posts:82

--
12/01/2009 11:49 PM
Well that's the plan.
You are not authorized to post a reply.

Active Forums 4.1

Latest Forum Posts
cyclist door incidents article posted in Road Cycling

PING: Dale, 6ix and thinline posted in Road Cycling

Microshift posted in Gear Advice

Tour de France 2015 Winner Unveiled!! posted in Professional Racing

"La Petite Reine" posted in The Dark Side

Rear wheel dish ? posted in Gear Advice


No articles match criteria.
  Terms and Conditions | Privacy Policy  Copyright 2008-2013 by VeloNation LLC